Are you sure you want to exist?
Denis Sergienko • 2022-12-23

Gold recovers as traders prepare for the last volatile day

Gold recovers as traders prepare for the last volatile day

Market sentiment improves during early Friday as the sluggish yields join China-linked headlines while traders prepare for today’s key US data relating to inflation and goods orders.

The US Dollar retreats after a two-day uptrend, which in turn allows Gold to regain upside momentum during a sluggish day. Crude oil fails to cheer supply fears due to Russian discomfort with the Western oil price cap, as well as the softer oil, amid hawkish Fed bets and recession woes.

NZDUSD leads the major currency pair bulls due to its links with China while USDCHF occupies the other end. Further, USDJPY also remains sluggish even as BOJ minutes and Japan inflation favor JPY bulls.

Elsewhere, Cryptocurrencies lick their wounds amid softer USD while paying little heed to the price-negative news.

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Following are the latest moves of the key assets:

  • Brent oil remains indecisive, mostly pressured, around $82.00 after welcoming bears the previous day.
  • Gold licks its wounds near $1,800 as buyers brace for the first positive day in three.
  • USD Index snaps a two-day uptrend near 104.20, down 0.20% intraday at the latest.
  • Wall Street closed with notable losses but stocks in the Asia-Pacific region, as well as in Europe and the UK, remain mostly indecisive of late.
  • BTCUSD and ETHUSD print mild gains around $16,800 and $1,200 in that order.

Bracing for one last shot

Be it the PBOC’s biggest cash injection since October or Evergrande’s readiness to alter asset distribution, not to forget China’s pro-growth policies, traders cheer it all to offer a mildly positive Friday as traders await the Fed’s favorite inflation indicator, namely US Core PCE Price Index. Also important are the US Durable Goods Orders for November.

It’s worth noting, however, that the firmer prints of the recently flashed top-tier US data renew hawkish Fed bets and challenge the USD bears before the final round of important statistics.

China’s diplomatic warning to the US and Russia about readiness to cut oil output if the West caps energy price fail to recall bears as traders await important US data. Also likely to have favored the risk-on mood could be the headlines suggesting more investments from Beijing.

Elsewhere, the US SEC and the Bank of England (BOE) both signaled more hardships for the crypto front but hopes of more investments and FTX CEO’s bailout appear to have favored BTCUSD and ETHUSD of late.

  • Strong buy: GBPUSD
  • Strong sell: ETHUSD, USDJPY
  • Buy: USD Index, USDCAD, Nasdaq, EURUSD
  • Sell: DAX, FTSE 100, gold, BTCUSD, AUDUSD

US data awaited before Santa

US Core PCE Price Index and Durable Goods Orders for November will be crucial for the markets amid recently firmer hawkish bets on the Fed’s next move. It’s worth noting that the last active day of 2022 appears interesting as the risk-negative headlines have failed to probe traders, suggesting a pending reaction. Hence, the traders may witness heavy volatility surrounding the data and may help the US Dollar to regain upside momentum in case of firmer data.

May the trading luck be with you!