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Denis Sergienko • 2022-11-28

AUDUSD teases bears amid China-inspired risk aversion

AUDUSD teases bears amid China-inspired risk aversion

After closing a positive week on the red side, AUDUSD remains on the bear’s radar as it broke a short-term symmetrical triangle, as well as the 50-SMA. However, the bears need a clear downside break of the previous week’s bottom surrounding 0.6580 to keep the reins. In that case, the downward trajectory could aim for the 200-SMA level surrounding 0.6475. During the fall, the 0.6500 round figure may act as intermediate halts.

Alternatively, a convergence of the previous support line and the 50-SMA, around 0.6700, holds the key to the buyer’s entry. Following that, a downward-sloping trend line from November 15, close to 0.6770 could challenge the upside momentum. In a case where the AUDUSD pair remains firmer past 0.6770, the monthly high and 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of 10-21 November moves, respectively around 0.6800 and 0.6840 will be in focus.

Overall, AUDUSD is likely to remain weaker unless rising back beyond 0.6770.

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