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Denis Sergienko • 2022-09-29

AUDUSD bears again aim for sub-0.6400 area

AUDUSD bears again aim for sub-0.6400 area

AUDUSD fails to extend the previous day’s corrective bounce off the two-year low as a 12-day-old resistance line joins the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of April-August moves, around 0.6530, to recall the bears. The nearly oversold RSI conditions, however, challenge the pullback moves, which in turn suggest limited downside and highlight the 78.6% FE level near 0.6365. In a case where the pair declines below 0.6365, the 0.6300 and the 0.6200 thresholds may please the bears before directing them to the 100% FE level near 0.6150.

Alternatively, recovery moves must stay successfully beyond the 0.6530 resistance confluence to aim for the 2.5-month-old hurdle, around 0.6680-85. Following that, the monthly high near 0.6915 and a downward sloping resistance line from early June, close to 0.7020, will be in focus.

Overall, AUDUSD is up for further downside but the room to the south appears limited.

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