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MTrading Team • 2023-08-23

AUDUSD forms falling wedge but bulls need more to return

AUDUSD forms falling wedge but bulls need more to return

AUDUSD bears take a breather after a five-week downtrend, portraying a falling wedge bullish chart pattern around the yearly low. Adding strength to the hopes of recovery is an upward-sloping RSI line, not overbought, as well as the bullish MACD signals. However, an area comprising multiple lows marked since late May, around 0.6460-70, restricts the short-term upside of the Aussie pair. Following that, a three-month-old horizontal area and the 200-SMA, respectively near 0.6580-6600 and 0.6635, will challenge the buyers before giving them control.

On the contrary, a one-week-long rising support line surrounding 0.6390 limits the immediate downside of the AUDUSD pair ahead of the stated wedge’s bottom line, close to 0.6350. In a case where the Aussie pair remains bearish past 0.6350, the November 2022 low near 0.6270 and the previous yearly bottom of around 0.6170 will be in the spotlight.

Overall, AUDUSD bears run out of steam and hence suggest a corrective bounce in the pair’s price. However, the downward trend established since mid-July is more likely to prevail unless witnessing strong Aussie data and/or downbeat US statistics, as well as the dovish Fed talks and the risk-on mood.

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